This course is specifically designed to cover the key elements of portfolio construction for equities and equity-related products. It includes an analysis of the relative suitability of the wide variety of equity instruments available for investors with various risk appetites and investment horizons.
A core focus of the course is a comprehensive review of the different kinds of strategic and tactical allocation strategies, returns forecasting and portfolio optimization approaches. In addition, there is an emphasis on performance attribution and numerous real-world examples of how risk management and hedging techniques can be applied to equity portfolios.
Course Methodology
This course utilizes presentations with abundant opportunities for collective exercises and discussions of the topics raised. Modelling tools in Excel will also be offered to participants and several case studies and research material will be provided.
Course Objectives
By the end of the course, participants will be able to:
Demonstrate a deep understanding of equities as an asset class
Determine the “fair value” of equities through analyzing the different models that have been used for deriving corporate valuations
Apply analytical skills to the value of fundamental analysis of corporate performance and equity valuation using financial statements
Recognize the key principles and lessons from different styles of asset allocation and portfolio management, including innovative approaches following the 2007/8 financial crisis
Demonstrate competence with equity-based derivatives and know how to benefit from their use as hedging tools
Target Audience
The course is ideal for those who are engaged in both the buy side and sell side of asset management and trading, and who wish to expand and refine their knowledge of global equities, the markets/platforms upon which they are traded and techniques for portfolio construction and management. It is also highly useful for fund managers whose mandate entails a significant risk exposure to emerging market equities.
Target Competencies
Analytical Skills
Portfolio Management
Asset Allocation
Portfolio Construction
Course Outline
Overview of Equities as an Asset Class
How does equity ownership compare to other financial claims?
Position of equity vis à vis other elements in corporate capital structure
Review of equity capital from an accounting perspective
Characteristics of ordinary, bearer and registered shares
Cumulative, participating, and convertible preference shares
Ranking for dividends and liquidation
Overview of the primary issuance of Equity Securities
Equity Markets and Trade Execution
Order driven/quote driven platforms
Warrants and Covered warrants
Contracts for Difference (CFD’s)
Overview of equity based collective investment vehicles
Primary Issuance, Clearing, Custody and Trading Of Equity Securities
Listing securities – the regulatory framework, investor disclosures
Structure and stages of an initial public offering (IPO)
Alternative routes for going public - direct listings, SPAC's
Role of intermediaries, book building, pricing
Benefits for the issuer and investors
Underwritten versus best efforts
Oversubscribed issues and greenshoe options
Role of exchanges in providing secondary market facilities, platforms
Alternative Trading Venues
Multilateral Trading Facilities and dark pools
The meaning of ‘books closed’, ‘ex-div’ and ‘cum div’, cum, special ex, special cum, and ex rights
Explanation of the nature and objectives of High Frequency Trading (HFT)
Principles of Delivery versus Payment (DVP) and Free Delivery
International Central Securities Depositories (ICSD)
Examination of the role of Custodians/Nominees
Purpose, requirements and implications of securities lending SBLI’s
Short selling, collateral management, re-hypothecation etc.
Global Equities Markets/Indices
Principal indices/exchanges
Emerging and frontier markets
Classification systems of global equity markets – MSCI, FTSE
Historical survey of performance of main global equity indices
Historical P/E ratios
Regulatory and supervisory environment
Shareholder protections etc.
Structure and size of markets, volumes
Liquidity and transparency
Trading characteristics e.g. prevalence of off exchange activities
Financial Statement Analysis
Purpose, structure and use of balance sheets, income statements and cash flow statements
Key classes of financial ratios:
Profitability, Liquidity, Asset turnover, Gearing
Key Investor ratios
Earnings Per Share (EPS), P/E Ratios (historic and prospective), Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) ratio
Dividend yield, Dividend/interest cover
Advantages and challenges of performing financial analysis
Comparing companies across and within sectors
Accounting for Corporate Actions
Stock and cash dividends
Rights issues, open offers, offers for subscription and for sale
Calculation of theoretical effect on the issuer’s share price of bonus/scrip, consolidation, rights issues
Corporate Valuation Methods
Fundamental equity valuation – Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) techniques
Models based on calculating the Present Value of future dividend flows
Simple Model
Multi-stage model
Comparing valuations across different sectors
What discount rate should be used in DCF models?
Determining the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
What multiples should be used for individual companies, for overall market?
How to value high growth enterprises with no dividends
Sustainability of profits and commercial disruptions
Relationship of corporate valuations to underlying interest rate environment
Return on Equity (ROE) measurements – including risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC)
Risk Adjusted valuations – incorporating beta into valuation methods
Importance of changes in the regulatory environment on valuation forecasting
Equity Allocation and Performance Attribution
Criteria for determining the relative allocations for equities, fixed income, alternative assets etc.
Contribution of each to overall portfolio return
Strategic versus tactical
Core versus satellite holdings
Active equity allocation – stock selection vs. passive investment
Relative performance of active managers to benchmarks
Performance attribution – allocation to specific securities vs. overall exposure to benchmarks
Examination of contrasting styles of Growth vs. Value investing
Warren Buffet’s investment philosophy
Portfolio Theory and the Risk/Return Trade Off
Cornerstones of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Securities market line (SML), beta, alpha, risk free rate etc.
The concept of the efficient frontier
Systematic Risk and idiosyncratic or specific Risk
Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) and diversification
Markowitz model and covariance matrix analysis
Risk Adjusted Return
Sharpe Ratio, Sortino Ratio, Treynor Ratio, Calmar Ratio, Total Expense Ratio (TER)
Risk-adjusted return on capital (RAROC)
Difference between CAPM and Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)
Active and passive strategies – index tracking, stock picking, transaction costs
Hedging and use of derivatives in risk management
Survivorship bias phenomenon
Risk Budgeting
Explanation of risk premia – excess return or compensation for not holding riskless assets
Risk as a scarce resource and how to allocate exposures according to risk premia and expected returns
Statistical distributions for modelling probability structures
Benchmarks and tracking errors – active versus passive risk
Recognizing importance of drawdowns - holding periods, needs for liquidity
Expected returns from a risk-budgeting perspective
Obligations to market – trading book, Basel III approaches
Calculations and mechanics of standard deviation / tracking error/ M 2 / beta
Value at Risk – methodologies, Expected Shortfall, Extreme Value Theory
Exchange Traded Funds (ETF’s)
Compare availability and range of ETF’s traded on US, European platforms
Number of funds, assets under management, growth trajectories
Contrast features of ETF’s to other collective investment vehicles (CIV’s)
Fiduciary/trust architectures, role of sponsors, creation units
Contrast passive index tracker ETF’s (the majority) with actively managed funds
Examination of MSCI geographical indices which many ETF’s track
Features of inverse ETF’s, leveraged funds
Contrast between funds which hold “physicals” versus those which are synthetic – hold futures, swaps, structured products.
Replication strategies – stratified sampling vs. full replication, use of synthetics
Examination of tracking error for exchange traded products
Risks associated with ETF’s, liquidity risk, risks with synthetic ETF’s
Special Risk Factors for Emerging Market Equities
Examination of how capital flows into emerging markets are influenced by the intention of central banks especially Federal Reserve to push asset managers into risk assets
Globalization of resourcing and capital flows has invalidated much traditional macro-economic theory regarding economic cycles
Differentiation between EM economies which have trade surpluses/deficits
Examination of negative feedback loops for EM markets when advanced economies reduce their accommodative monetary policy
Examination of ETF’s which provide exposure to emerging market equity and debt
Analysis of correlation between emerging market equities and commodities
Challenges and strategies for hedging and managing risk of emerging market equities because of lack of depth in markets for hedging exotic currencies
Techniques For Forecasting Expected Returns
Risk Factor Asset allocation strategies – reversing the trend of MPT and focusing on specific factors which “account” for asset class behaviour
Identifying key risk factors as drivers of asset prices
Insights from behavioural finance – risk seeking versus risk aversion
Long term correlations amongst asset classes – mean reversion
Contrarian indicators – sentiment, positioning of traders, hedge funds
Is there any evidence of asset returns having cyclical behavior?
Initial margin, variation margin, cost of carry, basis risk
Equity index futures contracts
Options on individual equities and equity indices
American, European, Asian style
Puts and calls – perspective of buyer and writer
Risk elements of derivatives
Counterparty risk, Market risk, Liquidity risk
Risks to the buyer of futures/options
Risks to the writer/seller of futures/options
Explain the key contrasts between Exchange traded versus Over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives
Central clearing versus counterparty risk
Role of options/futures in hedging equity portfolios
Role of Total Return Swaps - collateral issues, lessons from Archegos debacle
Managing Risk for Equity Portfolios
Main types of portfolio risk
Market risk – asset price volatility, currency, interest rates etc.
Investment horizon and holding period
Systemic and tail risk
Principles used to mitigate portfolio risk:
Seeking relatively uncorrelated assets
Benefits/limitations of diversification
Use of derivatives in hedging and risk management
Modeling risk scenarios – stress testing, stress regression based on outlier values, tools of statistical analysis, Monte Carlo simulations, back testing
Tail risk protection strategies
Smart Beta Strategies
Review of the logic behind smart beta – risk factor asset allocation models
Examination of the performance of various widely used smart beta ETF’s
Crowding and herding issues with smart beta strategies
Are the promises provided by smart beta ETF sponsors warranted?
ESG Strategies
Examine arguments for and against ESG in relation to investment performance and effectiveness
Analyze how ESG can create both risks and opportunities for investors
Review case studies and actual examples of decision making regarding ESG
Concluding Themes
The benefits of strategic investment vs. short term trading and market timing
Recognition that investor behavior can be emotion driven in the short term but more calculated over longer term horizons
Sources of bias in decision making and judgment in asset allocation
Establishing investment objectives that can be defined, quantified, and achieved successfully
Importance of periodic re-balancing and refreshment of portfolios
Synthesis of different asset allocation approaches